found online by Raymond
From Jonathan Bernstein at BloombergView:
It’d be nice to be able to tell you how this craziest week of a crazy campaign will affect the final vote totals on Nov. 8.
But I can’t. Neither can anyone else. We’d be bluffing if we claimed we could.
Normally, the job of political scientists like me is to caution everyone that the latest gaffe or political ad or campaign event won’t matter on Election Day. This was the gist of what I wrote a week ago: I suggested that most polling swings back and forth over the last few months have probably been illusions, and that there was a good chance Hillary Clinton has had a lead of 4 to 6 percentage points throughout.