found online by Raymond
From Jonathan Bernstein at Bloomberg View:
Let’s stop and figure out what the presidential polls are telling us and what they can’t tell us.
Right now, Hillary Clinton has a solid lead. This is according to four constantly updated “poll of polls” sites — that is, compilers of polling averages. HuffPollster’s current estimate has Clinton’s lead at 6.0 percentage points. The RealClearPolitics average gives her an edge of 4.8 points. The New York Times has her leading by 5 points, and FiveThirtyEight’s “nowcast,” which looks at the polls to date rather than projecting to November, has her up by 4.7 points.
So is it over? Absolutely not.